Arsenal vs Burnley prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Premier League match
After easily defeating Sevilla in midweek Champions League play to secure another three points in Group B, Arsenal return to Premier League action this weekend when Burnley visit the Emirates Stadium.
The Gunners fell 1-0 to Newcastle in the league last time out, though Mikel Arteta’s side struggled to produce chances in that game as well, recording just one shot on target as they lost for the first time this season in England’s top division.
As a result, Arsenal will be anxious to return to winning ways today, and in fact, they should do so as Burnley remain in the relegation zone ahead of kick-off, having won just one league game all season.
Their manager, Vincent Kompany, is under intense pressure as a result of his team’s terrible league start, and he’d prefer to claim a positive win here in London to kickstart their season. The Sporting News has provided a preview of the game below.
Arsenal vs Burnley match facts
- Date: Saturday, November 11, 2023
- Kickoff time: 3:00 p.m. local (10:00 p.m. ET / 7:00 a.m. PT)
- Location: Emirates Stadium (London, England)
- Last meeting: Arsenal 0-0 Burnley (Jan. 23, 2021 | Premier League)
Arsenal vs Burnley prediction, odds
- Moneyline lean: Arsenal (-500)
- Score prediction: Arsenal 3-0 Burnley
| ARS win |
Draw | BUR win |
Both teams to score Y / N |
Over / Under 2.5 goals |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (USA) |
-500 | +650 | +1300 | +120 / -150 | -205 / +165 |
Arsenal vs Burnley best bet
- Pick: Arsenal over 7.5 corners
- Odds: -115 (DraftKings)
It may be tough to discover value in situations like these where one team is such a huge favorite, but we’ve gone outside the box here.
There’s little point in betting the ‘both teams to score – NO’ or ‘over 2.5 goals’ markets here, even if we believe both will clear, so we’ve gone with Arsenal to have over 7.5 corners in this match at -115 with DraftKings.
No team has won more corners in the Premier League this season than Arsenal, who had 93 before this game, with Manchester City coming in second with 77.
When you consider that they’ve accumulated that much in 11 league games, the average per match is 8.45, and with Burnley struggling and this match expected to be played primarily in the opposition’s half, this sounds like a strong pick.
Arsenal vs Burnley flier bet
- Pick: Eddie Nketiah to score 2+ goals
- Odds: +550 (DraftKings)
After missing Arsenal’s midweek meeting against Sevilla due to an injury, striker Eddie Nketiah is set to return here and should be healthy for Burnley’s visit.
So far this season, the 24-year-old has scored five goals in 950 minutes of Arsenal play, an average of one goal per 190 minutes. That doesn’t sound like the most impressive record to support him to score 2+ times at +550 with DraftKings here, but there are other factors at work.
For starters, Burnley has one of the league’s poorest defenses this season, which could provide lots of opportunities for Arsenal, while Nketiah prefers to play at home.
All five of his Premier League goals in 2023/24 have come at the Emirates, where he also scored a hat-trick against Sheffield United, a team struggling much like Vincent Kompany’s at the moment.
